Not sure of the odds, but we got three permits this year. Unfortunately they were too late in the season and there wasn't enough water. Suppose to be a good winter coming up. Good luck and save a spot for me. : )
Years ago, Salt permits were a lot easier to get, especially if you had a group to all enter the drawing. Salt has now become a very popular run and with all the dry months lately even if you do hit the permit draw, chances of water is slim to none.