ok, so here is the deal... the box is runnable in hard boats down to about 350cfs... but you really need 550 for a raft. & yeah, low water box trips are loooong days of lots of paddling (also heads up, it's been epic windy down here this spring.) The race course is totally runnable down to nothing (I have personally worked it commercially down to 147cfs, that was in 2002, & this season is looking very reminiscent of that one... we peaked in March at about 650... it's been fluctuating between 250 & 515 since... ouch.
ok, so whats up with the water? well heres whats up, the upper Rio Grande basin is at %80 of snow pack & is flowing just fine... the lower Rio Grande basin is only at %30 of snow pack... so yeah, the tributaries that feed the box are not flowing. Now, the Rio Grande water compact is relatively effective (as far as water compacts go,) because it works on a sliding scale, if there is less water in general, we all get less water... so CO owes so many acre feet down stream to TX & NM (less this year cuz there is less to go round,) BUT... CO doesn't give a flying bleep about when they send it & how it affects river recreators... SO, they sent most of what they owed down stream all through Feb & March! (btw, it was lovely then, 650 cfs & warm sunny days! glad I caught some of it!) But yeah, I don't think we are gonna see a box season... it has gotten teasingly close a few time & dropped right back down. :P I think unfortunately we are in for a desperately low water year on the Rio this year.