Has the Ark peaked for 2018? - Mountain Buzz
 



Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
 
Old 05-21-2018   #1
 
Ft Collins, Colorado
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 213
Has the Ark peaked for 2018?

Just wondering if the peak around the 18th was it for this year. Anyone with local knowledge or a more objective evaluation of the snow pack?

johng is offline   Reply With Quote
Sponsored Links
Advertisement
 
Old 05-21-2018   #2
 
Andy H.'s Avatar
 
Wheat Ridge, Colorado
Paddling Since: 1995
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 3,619
Purely subjective. No, flow dropped with the cool weather, this next week or two will see the meltdown.

If I'm wrong, I'm glad I braved the chilly weather and got on it this weekend!

-AH
__________________
Nothing in the world is more yielding and gentle than water. Yet it has no equal for conquering the resistant and tough. The flexible can overcome the unbending; the soft can overcome the hard. - Lao Tse
Andy H. is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-22-2018   #3
 
lmyers's Avatar
 
Buena Vista, Colorado
Paddling Since: 2005
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 4,766
I believe it has. The Fremont Snotel site still reads 15" of moisture, but that is an anomaly. There is not very much snow left to melt. Independence Pass is in really poor shape. In fact CDOT had no issue plowing the road out 2-3 weeks early and the Brumley Snotel site has completely melted out. Snow in the trees is isothermal and rotten to the ground and only about 1-2ft deep. The only substantial snow that is left is north facing slopes above timberline.

Later this week temperatures are supposed to jump back up again, but I don't believe there is enough snow left to take flows back above 1900 cfs. Could possibly have a second peak right around the same level if it gets hot enough.

This image is from the source of the Ark, taken Sunday the 20th from above 13k' on the shoulder of Mt. Arkansas facing north.



and this one is from 13k' on Mt. Arkansas looking west toward Leadville.

lmyers is offline   Reply With Quote
Sponsored Links
Advertisement
 
Old 05-22-2018   #4
 
surrounded by mountains, Colorado
Paddling Since: 1981
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 499
Quote:
Originally Posted by johng View Post
Just wondering if the peak around the 18th was it for this year. Anyone with local knowledge or a more objective evaluation of the snow pack?
There is a lot of snow left at the headwaters (Mt. Massive,Elbert, etc.). There was even new snowfall up high this past weekend. The cold temps slowed things down and they temporarily cut back on the reservoir releases accordingly. We do usually get an early false peak each year. Then the true peak is generally in June and often around FIBArk time.
__________________
No risk, no reward. It is not that we have to, it is that we get to. Preparation and education are essential to self-confidence and success. - KV
"If there is no risk there is no adventure."- Bill Briggs
Ken Vanatta is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-22-2018   #5
 
lmyers's Avatar
 
Buena Vista, Colorado
Paddling Since: 2005
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 4,766
There was no fresh snow up north in the basin this weekend. We did get 3-4" on Cottonwood Pass Saturday evening, but I was on both Independence and Fremont Passes first thing Sunday morning and there was no new snow, not even a dusting.

If you are waiting for peak runoff in June you are going to be disappointed.
lmyers is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-22-2018   #6
 
Ft Collins, Colorado
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 213
Thanks - very informative. I'm thinking a trip to the Ark this weekend, along with the masses, is prudent.
johng is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-22-2018   #7
 
Helena, Montana
Paddling Since: 1989
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 46
The Ark can surprise you. I remember in 1991 or 1992 it was a similar year and we all thought the river "peaked" in June at a little above 1,600 in Browns Canyon. The real peak came in August and there was a major rainstorm that brought it up to around 1,750.
Vasevida is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-22-2018   #8
 
lmyers's Avatar
 
Buena Vista, Colorado
Paddling Since: 2005
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 4,766
Quote:
Originally Posted by Vasevida View Post
The Ark can surprise you. I remember in 1991 or 1992 it was a similar year and we all thought the river "peaked" in June at a little above 1,600 in Browns Canyon. The real peak came in August and there was a major rainstorm that brought it up to around 1,750.

This is the truth, and it really depends on what gauge your referring to. Since I live in BV almost every comment I post is talking about upstream of town. I would say half to 3/4 of the seasons I have been on the Ark have had a second peak, usually much higher, during monsoon season. Generally this is at the Nathrop gauge or downstream even further. I was on Browns the day the boat ramp got blown out back in like August 2006. River went from 600 to 1800 while we were on it, and all the way up to like 2-3k overnight, washing out the boat ramp and temporarily closing Hecla Junction.
lmyers is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-22-2018   #9
 
Buena Vista, Colorado
Paddling Since: 2016
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 11
From my vantage point here on the north edge of BV, the snow levels on Princeton, Yale and Columbia right now look like they typically would in early to mid July. I have also spent some time recently up around Leadville and the snow levels don't look as bleak up there, but they are still the lowest I have seen in the past several years. I suspected that the Ark would peak around the time of Paddlefest this weekend, but I think the Numbers gage on May 18th might have been the main "snowmelt peak" for the spring season. Given the wet pattern we have been in for the past few afternoons, a "thunderstorm-on-snowmelt peak" that takes the river back up to or even higher than the May 18th peak is still fairly likely. A large rain storm in the mountains west of the Granite to Leadville corridor could get the river rising again, and as I sit here typing this a nice storm is brewing and moving north along the Collegiate Peak range west of US 24. Warm day and nighttime temps might also get the river rising again. Regardless, the current flow rate will make for a great Paddlefest event and some fun family- and kid-friendly floats on the Arkansas. Come on and have a great time this weekend!
shoebvco is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-25-2018   #10
 
Idaho Springs, Colorado
Paddling Since: 15
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 11
That's it, until next year!
riverpilot is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Tags
ark

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off


Similar Threads
Topic Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Westwater peaked already? DanCan Whitewater Rafting 9 05-16-2014 11:07 PM
Has the Colorado peaked? Bornwithatail Whitewater Kayaking 28 06-17-2013 08:38 AM
Have we peaked? cokayakn Whitewater Kayaking 15 06-17-2008 07:35 AM
Has the Embudo peaked out? hortonvm Whitewater Kayaking 3 05-06-2007 05:02 PM
Have the rivers peaked?? JD Whitewater Kayaking 8 06-29-2004 02:28 PM

» Classified Ads
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 06:24 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2019, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
vBulletin Security provided by vBSecurity v2.2.2 (Pro) - vBulletin Mods & Addons Copyright © 2019 DragonByte Technologies Ltd.