Originally Posted by Rich
WOW! That's about 6 weeks early. Is there enough water in Twin Lakes to keep it above 700 till mid Aug? And any guess on how soon #s will hit 500?
Logan, thanks for the info.
Yep, with the way the weather has been the snowpack is going to blow it's small load early this year. The snow is disappearing, but it's not really melting yet. I'm thinking we are having a lot of evaporation going on...
If nothing changes I think we will see flows start coming up in a couple weeks, and the peak will be small and short lived.
Twin Lakes seems to have good storage levels. I think last I saw it is filled to around 95% of average, so I think there is a good chance we will see 700 cfs at Wellsville for a long time this summer.
However, it does sound like there is potential for a decent storm Sunday and into the beginning of the week, and the associated cold front may drop temps back to average for awhile. A couple of good storms and another month of cool weather would make a big difference when it comes to this season's melt.
In case you haven't seen it, here is a graph that shows a pretty good representation of what's happening with the snowpack: