Did the Ark already peak ?? - Mountain Buzz

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Old 05-26-2009   #1
Join Date: Dec 2003
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Did the Ark already peak ??

Looks like it was up quite a bit and has now dropped out. Did it peak already?

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Old 05-26-2009   #2
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Steamboat, Colorado
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I was kinda wondering the same thing. It was fairly chilly up there this weekend so I see that affecting it. You could see your breathe in the morning, and never got much about 50's, when you did get a glimpse of the hills seemed to be some fresh dust up top. The river seemed to steadily drop each day we were there.

Not much snow in surrounding peaks in the valley, wonder how the headwaters up towards Leadville look.....
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Old 05-26-2009   #3
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Eagle, Idaho
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My guess is yes......unfortunately. Although, I think we'll see it come back up.....how high?? who knows.......it's been colder and rainy.
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Old 05-26-2009   #4
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Denver, Colorado
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I don't think there is any way it will get back up there. Unless the colligates erupt as volcanoes and melt all the existing snow at once...
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Old 05-26-2009   #5
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Buena Vista, Colorado
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It is snowing in Fairplay and anyplace high right now. In BV it is raining and only 44 degrees. The Ark will rise again once it warms up again as this cold spell has been going on for 4 days with more days to come. I am seriously watching big heavy flakes fall outside my office. It looks like I made the right desision to take the Audi over the motorcycle today!
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Old 05-26-2009   #6
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Boulder, Colorado
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It looked to me like there was still a lot of snow up there. Seems like every year around this time someone starts questioning whether or not we've peaked and inevitably most people say yes, and then a hot spell comes along and flows spike again. Not sure if it's a peak or not, but my bet is flows will make a good climb back up before the end of the season on the Ark.

I think a lot of the recent fluctuation has to do with artificial controls.
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Old 05-26-2009   #7
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Buena Vista, Colorado
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not quite yet...

due to the cold weather, the snow has momentarily stopped melting. The ark has dropped about 800 cfs in the past 4 days. Right now, it is pounding snow in the upper drainage, so we may actually be repairing our snowpack. My guess is that whenever the sun comes back, the new snow will melt, and hopefully bring the ark back up to peak flows. keep in mind that we are having an early year, so who knows what will happen
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Old 05-26-2009   #8
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Salida, Colorado
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I love this type of talk. We need to be sitting around a bar while doing it though...My guess is that the Ark will come back up quite a bit but maybe not as high as it already got. Super hard to predict on the Ark because most of us have no idea when water users are timing deliveries during the run off. This is similar to what happened last year but we don't have as much snowpack this year. Whatever snow we are getting right now in the high country will not likely add a ton of length to the run off, but the cold temps are just what we needed to slow things down. When it gets warm again we will see another spike but, I am betting that by FIBArk week we are on the way down.
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Old 05-26-2009   #9
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Indian Hills, Colorado
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I live for this shit. I'll bet you my next beer that we'll see peak in June.

Recent runoffs, along with this year (gaged in Salida):

...and recent snowpack in the Arky basin:

That was a pretty good gush in late May, but I'm hopeful that more is on the way.
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Old 05-26-2009   #10
Cisco, Utah
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But when will the south rise again?
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