Arkansas Flow Question? - Mountain Buzz
 



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Old 04-05-2012   #1
 
Charlottesville, Virginia
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Arkansas Flow Question?

Greetings,

Any thoughts on what the flow will be for the Numbers and Royal Gorge between June 13 - 24?

Over/Under 1000 cfs?

Also, I know the snowpack is depressing, but do you think the Clear Creek of the Ark might be above 150 cfs during that time?

Thanks a bunch!

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Old 04-05-2012   #2
 
Denver, 303
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Originally Posted by vayaker View Post
Greetings,

Any thoughts on what the flow will be for the Numbers and Royal Gorge between June 13 - 24?

Over/Under 1000 cfs?

Also, I know the snowpack is depressing, but do you think the Clear Creek of the Ark might be above 150 cfs during that time?

Thanks a bunch!
I hope to be hitting those two rivers in between the same dates (15th-22nd) Hopefully things aren't too boney.

-Chris
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Old 04-05-2012   #3
 
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Guessing that with the current conditions, and the future forecasts, we will be looking at 500-600 cfs at the Numbers and around 800 cfs at the Gorge. The limited snowpack we have this season will melt and peak early (likely late April/early May). The Bureau of Reclamation will try and maintain flows on the Arkansas to 700 cfs at the Wellsville gauge until August 15th. Based on the current reservoir levels, and the diverted water that will refill these reservoirs via the Western Slope, I would say my guess will be pretty close...
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Old 04-05-2012   #4
 
Centennial, Colorado
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Originally Posted by lmyers View Post
Guessing that with the current conditions, and the future forecasts, we will be looking at 500-600 cfs at the Numbers and around 800 cfs at the Gorge. The limited snowpack we have this season will melt and peak early (likely late April/early May). The Bureau of Reclamation will try and maintain flows on the Arkansas to 700 cfs at the Wellsville gauge until August 15th. Based on the current reservoir levels, and the diverted water that will refill these reservoirs via the Western Slope, I would say my guess will be pretty close...

The Ark has never peaked in late April or early May.

I think mid June is much more realistic for the peak this year.
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Old 04-05-2012   #5
 
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Originally Posted by JerkmyBait View Post
The Ark has never peaked in late April or early May.

I think mid June is much more realistic for the peak this year.
I'll wager around Memorial day at 2000 cfs. Let's see.
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Old 04-06-2012   #6
 
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Originally Posted by JerkmyBait View Post
The Ark has never peaked in late April or early May.

I think mid June is much more realistic for the peak this year.
Have you seen the snowpack numbers? Last couple of years the river peaked in late May, this year it is already melting quickly, and there isn't much there to melt. Looking back at historical data, 2002 was the most recent year with a similar snowpack to this season. The Ark peaked at 726 cfs at the below Granite gauge on May 22.....so based on that I think Andy's guess of Memorial Day is probably pretty close.
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Old 04-06-2012   #7
 
Centennial, Colorado
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Originally Posted by lmyers View Post
Have you seen the snowpack numbers? Last couple of years the river peaked in late May, this year it is already melting quickly, and there isn't much there to melt. Looking back at historical data, 2002 was the most recent year with a similar snowpack to this season. The Ark peaked at 726 cfs at the below Granite gauge on May 22.....so based on that I think Andy's guess of Memorial Day is probably pretty close.
I have looked at the snowpack numbers and stand by my statement. But you are AGAIN incorrect, the last couple of years the ark did not peak in late May. Last year(2011) the river peaked at just over 4000 cfs on JULY 1st. In 2010, the river peaked at about 5200 on JUNE 6th. I think you are pulling your stats out of your ass.

Andy's guess of Memorial Day (May 28th) is well within the historical range. As I stated before, the ark has never peaked in late April or early May like you originally guessed.
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Old 04-06-2012   #8
 
BV, CO
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I think you are pulling your stats out of your ass.
Eww, that sounds painful.
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Old 04-06-2012   #9
 
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Doubt it on Clear Creek of the Ark.
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Old 04-06-2012   #10
 
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I can't wait to meet this dude from Centennial. Don't let me down jerk off!
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