Originally Posted by mowgli
Does anybody have an idea of predicted water levels this summer? Hows the snow pack looking? I scored a permit for Aug 13th.
The last time I talked about low water and my predictions I was told that my guesses were all fallacy.
Somehow I have managed to open the road to Boundary 4 times in the last 12 years and seen peak 3 or 4 times as well.
Lots of winter left to happen. But.....
even in Stanley there is little to no snow below 6,000 feet. South and East slopes are bare in many areas and some west slopes. This is at 6-8K. This affects more the peak potential than August. There is quite a bit of snow up high. More in the Northern side of the Middle Fork than the Southern.
Less snow on Banner means more challenges getting to Indian Creek.
Maybe if you shared your potential group makeup in terms of craft and low water experience I could give better advice. Also total group size will dictate how many days you can take. 10 and under can go 8 days and I would recommend this. Up to 20 can go 7 days and over 20 need to run in six days.
I love the upper river but realistically you need to assess your group and see what flows are. At a minimum unless you are converted backpackers you should plan on flying a plane load of coolers and beer into Indian. I think you will at 2 feet or below.
Congrats on the permit and I hope you pull it off in style.
Webcam in Stanley. Go to the 10 day review or the last year to get some comparison.
Sawtooth Camera: Live webcam from Stanley, Idaho. Views of the Sawtooth Mountain Range.
Live Web Cam | Flying Resort Ranches
2007 was a very low year. I launched one trip from Boundary on May 16th. We barely had to shovel. It was 5 feet or so. I launched again on June 1st at 3.3 and falling. We still did an October trip at 1.45 feet or about 450 cfs.
Currently the SWE at Banner Summit ( close to the Headwaters at Boundary Creek) is at 16.5. In 2007 it was at 19.6 or very close to where it peaked that year. If it still snows some it could catch up or pass that. All depends on temps and precip in the next three months.
Banner Summit (312) - Site Information and Reports
Go to 'View Historic' to keep comparable snowpacks on different years.