Originally Posted by DesertRatonIce
I didn't think I would see anything bigger than last year for awhile. Could we be seeing something bigger this year?!?!......I sound like a broken record in my posts but there is even more moisture in the pipeline coming. .
I think part of what we're seeing is a combination of a late thaw and a series of late storms. If you check out the Upper Colorado Basin Plot you'll see that we're lagging just a little behind average melt timing but since the curve is so steep at this time of year, that makes the "percent of average" much greater. Overall it looks like a generally average year by that plot, but we're just melting out a little later.
I think it'll be a good year and the runoff will last a bit longer than usual, but it's not going to be like 2011, 1995, 1983, etc. (unless something really major happens between now and early June). Hopefully I'm wrong...