Originally Posted by BilloutWest
Climate forecasting is to be taken with a truck load of salt.
This was from Jan 20th:
The generic forecast is holding out. My old home in Va Beach is experiencing weeks of temperatures lower than my western town at close to 6k feet. NOAA's tend to be a more eloquent in my book:
For my area that means continued above average temperatures and a chance of normal precipitation for the next 30+ days. Precipitation probabilities increase in SW starting March but considering temps are likely to be above average still that could easily be rain not snow.
Freezing fog at the resort at 11,000 feet today and 45F and rain in town at 6k. We had hoar frost on the lifts which is historically rare here, though much more common last 2 years. Snow depth is a little better than last year's horrible totals but much worse than preceding years, anywhere from 30-60% less. When compared to the last year we had a solid Virgin River run, back in 2011, we are sitting at something like 25% of that snowpack.
If the new norm is drier mid-winters and wetter spring snows than things could even out. For now, the new norm seems to be warmer, less snow and significantly lower annual snowpacks. No point in getting sad about it but I am not gonna set myself up for disappointment either waiting for some sort of epic spring snows that would be well outside the historic normal. Same seems to be happening for other regional runs like the Salt.
If we get dumped on I can easily inflate my IK and head an hour south though. I would love to see several of those runs again and they historically release around my birthday. I love floating through Zion...nothing quite like it.