Mike, the "war on drugs" is a war on personal freedom.
You're free to drink yourself to death in this country, free to eat yourself to death, free to fornicate yourself to death, free to smoke yourself to death. But Heroin and the others are somehow nefarious disproportionate to the others? Sorry, no.
Prohibition only creates black markets and crime. Unless you do what the Red Communist Chinese did (which I'd support if someone wanted to propose it), which is kill all the dealers you catch, and imprison all the users you catch for a very, very long time. When punishments are actually punitive ENOUGH, you can eliminate a black market. Make up your mind (not you specifically CM, just American drug policy). In or out. All or nothing.
As for the debate, Theo, I never said Obama "won". I don't think I said anyone did.
I know you don't like polls, and there's some reason to be skeptical of them. However, the research for incorrect polling has theories that assert Right-leaning voters are under-represented, and also theories that assert Left-leaning voters are under-represented. If you ask me, the curmudgeons who lie to poll takers, such as yourself, are demographically outnumbered by the 18-24 bracket who have no landlines and thus cannot be sampled. Also, the Bradley Effect
could weigh in favor of McCain, but the Bradley Effect has been statistically insignificant in all elections since 1989, according to the most recent analysis.
Nevertheless, trend analysis is something worth noting. The trends show significant separation between Obama and McCain since the first Bailout vote. Battleground state trends is actually much worse for McCain, where he has fallen outside the MoE in Colorado, Florida (big one there), and Ohio.
While the popular vote will probably not be a landslide, the Electoral vote, if the election were held today
show a 2:1 advantage to Obama. That's not Reagan 1984 numbers, but it's better than any President between 1984 and now.
My prediction is that Obama's electoral college number will be in the low 300s, and the popular vote will be about 52/45 (plus or minus 2) Obama. I'm not yet predicting Colorado.