Eastern Utah, now. - Mountain Buzz
 



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Old 09-23-2016   #1
 
GJ, Colorado
Paddling Since: 2011
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Eastern Utah, now.

Black Boxes are at 1150 and holding.

Dirty Devil is at 4800. !!!

Hope somebody's getting out on 'em.

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Old 09-24-2016   #2
 
Denver, Colorado
Join Date: May 2016
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mikesee View Post
Black Boxes are at 1150 and holding.

Dirty Devil is at 4800. !!!

Hope somebody's getting out on 'em.
1190 for the box now. Get some!
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Old 09-25-2016   #3
 
Western Slope, CO, Colorado
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Just a friendly warning, Don't go get some toooo quick without a lot of experience or experienced accompaniment. Fall CFS spikes may leave you high and dry in the middle of nowhere or biting off a little more than one can chew on the high side.
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Old 09-27-2016   #4
 
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Buena Vista, Colorado
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Did you catch anything Mike? Looks like the gauges all dropped like a rock...

NWS forecasts sound promising for another shot this weekend....

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 402 AM MDT Tue Sep 27 2016

"Precipitable Water (PW) values increase to 0.75 to 1 inch on
Thursday and Friday as moisture continues to surge northward over
the area with the highest values over the Four Corners region.
Specific humidity values also increase with values in the range of
6 to 8 g/kg. This low becomes an open wave and ejects across the
area Thursday into Friday, with moisture remnants of T.S. Roslyn
moving over the area on Friday. There are timing differences in
the models but overall trends seem to indicate the chance for
showers and storms increasing on Thursday into Friday for more
active weather. This system is fairly mild with snow levels
expected to be around 12,500 feet. The latest model trends seem to
be coming in slower with timing of the moisture and precipitation
chances so will be something to keep an eye on for future model
runs as timing may change."

National Weather Service Text Product Display
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Old 09-27-2016   #5
 
Fort Collins, Colorado
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May I ask what/where the Black Boxes are?
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Old 09-27-2016   #6
 
Carbondale, Colorado
Join Date: Aug 2007
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Let me google that for you
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Old 09-27-2016   #7
 
Durango South, 4CRS
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And this is why chasing rain in the desert is such an adventure...
We ran the black boxes on rain a few years ago and if I did it again I would make it a day run rather than an overnighter to lessen the chance of getting stranded. Hiking down the dirty devil at 10 cfs is one thing, but trying to navigate the dried up rapids in the lower black box would be much less appealing.
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Old 09-27-2016   #8
 
GJ, Colorado
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lmyers View Post
Did you catch anything Mike? Looks like the gauges all dropped like a rock...

NWS forecasts sound promising for another shot this weekend]
Nope, couldn't rally anyone. En route to drag ass down the MFS now...
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Old 09-27-2016   #9
 
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I could likely rally Saturday and/or Sunday if it goes again. 865 three nine nine. 6214. Haven't been in there before. Would be keen for a day trip or overnight.
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Old 09-27-2016   #10
 
Western Slope, CO, Colorado
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Looks like a front coming through Mid week. Maybe later, who knows. If weekend looks likely, then maybe go camp up high in the area and watch the weather after studying the drainages on a map. You'll learn a lot more from watching the weather real-time than reading a gauge somewhere downstream. Usually by the time you can react to the gauge spike, get there, and run it, it will be too late.

Go do a slot if it doesn't work out. Kind of mutually exclusive.
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