Remember that there is a new gage for the Bailey run since the old one is either out of commission or retired. The old gage was further upstream equating to a lower flows generally. This new gage is downstream, so it's possible that there would be enough water there, but not at the put-in at the current levels due to tributaries downstream of the original gage. I just looked to see if the old gage is working again because the USGS often times shuts gaging stations down for the winter. Unfortunately I didn't find it listed in the USGS Colorado gages section, so we'll probably have to go with the one downstream. Perhaps it's still active and I missed it. If you have time, you might look for the old gage.
In a nutshell, the old standard of 250 cfs for a Bailey run is probably inaequate unless you suspect that there is minimal tributary flow between the put-in and the gage at Pine (i.e. later in the year after runoff). Sorry I know this is really confusing, but I figured I'd throw out my two cents.