Originally Posted by powdahound76
Saw them yesterday on my way home from IS. They have no idea where she is, or if she even went into the creek, but are searching there. Seems wierd for experienced searchers to be searching at the spot last seen on the river at these water levels, doesnt it? Hope they find out what happened soon, for the family and friends at the very least.
You always start searching from a point of last known origin THEN fan out, looking for clues. It's shocking how badly searches can go when a mob starts guessing randomly then running off in their random directions. In land searches, especially, they can quickly destroy any evidence of where a person may have been.
Also, it may sound counter intuitive given that we know how fast water moves things on the surface, but a non-floating object does not act the same. If everything in the river flushed we'd never have log jams. For slower moving water there are statistical models that are rather accurate (all things considered). In faster moving water, as you're indicating, the variance on those models gets much larger. Still, always start where you think someone went in, not where you think they'll end up.