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Old 05-17-2006   #1
Ridgway, Colorado
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 74
snow is melting fast

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Old 05-17-2006   #2
Edwards, Colorado
Paddling Since: 2001
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 111 is going faster than average....but i'm not sweating it. take a look at this graph if you're curious...

you can look at each specific drainage basin here:

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Old 05-17-2006   #3
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 103
does anyone know where the forecast for the 90 degree temps. is coming from? I've read a few articles about it, but don't see any 90's in the forecast for Denver/Ft. Collins and the 10 day for Breckenridge on the Weather Channel's site says nothing higher than upper 60's not the mid-70's they are talking about. Any meteoroligists(sp?) know what is up?
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Old 05-17-2006   #4
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 10
Montana temps are 30 degrees above normal, we are loosing snowpack quick. I'm guessing some of the rivers may do there big hurrah this weekend.

Take a look at the Lochsa!

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Old 05-18-2006   #5
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 28
unoffical flood warning issued

I received this information yesterday:

May 15 to May 21: Warm, dry air will dominate the state’s weather west of the Divide through this week. As a result temperatures will average well above average from valley floors to mountain tops. The bottom line: tributaries of major rivers will see a healthy boost in local runoff and could produce minor flooding issues by mid-week.

Our mid-May “heat wave” is just in its infancy. A dominating ridge of very warm air has begun to build over the Western United States this past weekend. Warm, dry weather will dominate until about May 24-26; here comes the runoff! Temperatures will be 5-10F above average except for May 17-18 as a mass of Pacific moisture passes with showers and thunderstorms at the mid-week point. The week will end on a sizzling note with temperatures likely to reach to near 90F on valley floors.

The tributaries that appear to pose the greatest threat are the Ten Mile, Upper Blue, Swan and Snake which could lead to specific minor flooding issues this week. Similar issues abound on the tributaries of the Eagle River and the Yampa-White. While main stem rivers will show a gradual rise reaching their peaks next week, the tributaries will face their own peak this week. Be ready!

Weekly Flood Threat table: Warm temperatures all week will cause Summit County tributaries upstream of Breckenridge to run full to out of banks at times by mid-week. Timing of weather disturbances that will briefly cloud the skies is tough but be ready for tributary flooding issues to surface by mid-week and last into weekend.

Our long range outlook shows a very unstable Pacific storm track (the thick blue arrow) that could bring both a 3-5 day “heat wave” with temperatures in the 80’s to the high country May 20-24 and a then wet Pacific storm for the Memorial Day weekend, May 26-30. The warm weather could hasten another round of mountain snowmelt.

A signal that is gathering strength is for a protracted stormy period to follow the “heat wave” and increase the threat of a rain event on snowmelt swollen streams May 28 to June 3. The threat of strong thunderstorm rainfall along the Front Range would also be significantly increased during this time period.

Okay we are getting ahead of ourselves and an outlook at this time of year is likely to change. Due to the expected but still evolving changes in the Pacific storm track our confidence in this long range outlook is still on the low side but heading toward more confidence.
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Old 05-18-2006   #6
El Flaco's Avatar
Golden, Colorado
Paddling Since: 1984
Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 1,879

If TenMile gets about 900 in the next week and you're driving past, check out the upper section just above Officer's Gulch. Takes about 25 minutes to walk up and scout the mile, and about 5 minutes to run. We walked up the path to put in and it looked like it was boogie water IV, but it's very deceptive. Felt like one of the fastest stretches I've ever paddled- like a rocket ship. NO eddies, other than your takeout- and it might be good idea to tie off a rope that comes down to the water's edge to facilitate making that small eddy- 'cause those culverts are heinous.

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