Wow, thanks for all the help and additional info Rich. You go too far.
I can't wait to see some statistics on the commercial end of this. It will be good to compare apples to apples.
Whatever system is in place, there should be NO such thing as a lapsed user day in it. That is crap and easy to remedy, even if you just roll them over into the next year. As it stands, for every person under max capacity on your permit for an 18 day trip, 18 user days vanish forever. Five people under the limit? Adios, 90 user days.
This is one of the issues that really bugs me too, Caspian. I also would like to know if they are limited to large and small groups. In fact......what is the limit on commercial group size. (I'm guessing it's 16, just like us). They must have a start and stop date as I doubt too many of them run winter trips..
........but they should be since there seems to be so much interest in going on winter trips.
In answer to your question, about 50.5% of the current user-day allocation goes to commercials, and 49.5% to private boaters.
I'm guessing your talking number of people going down the river, and how many days each one spends on the river?
To parse it seasonally, about 75% of the available private use is in the Spring, Summer, and Fall. .
That makes since...........since 1 1/2 trips launch a day...... everyday...... for privates. Every three months we use 25% of our user days.
What's the percentage on the commercials in each three month period? My guess is 100% for the same time period you indicate above. Spring, Summer, and Fall.
If the demand is there like you say, why don't we try and even out the season with them. That would allow more Spring, Summer, Fall trips for private boaters. What a great trade off for them too. They can get in on this new winter boating market and interest. Something to think about for the next round of negotiations.
In the end it will be fun to compare how many trips are being used by both commercial and privates. With that we should also compare how big each trip that launches is, as to how many people actually launched on each trip..........both commercially and privately. Apples to apples.
This is where the user day issue falls into place and a fair comparison can be made between the two groups. It should be really easy to figure out since everyone that leaves the beach is ID'ed, and counted. Money is exchanged. I really doubt anyone slips through the cracks and they miss a few boaters here and there.
So the comparison would be.........how many user days did each group actually use for the year, and how many user days went unused for each group. This number should be close to even since the percentage of user days are basically even between the two groups.......right?
Here is something to think about..........I should be able to run down the canyon twice in the time alotted to me if I want. That's what this user day thing is all about...right? I know I can make it down twice and reset shuttle for the second round without loosing too many user days, if any at all. If I pull into Diamond in the early morning......I know I could be back to ferry land and on the river by nightfall. All it takes is a 20 hp motor (or two) for every boat......(and a really loud sound system to drown out all the motor noise.