I dont think that we are going to have a run off here on the Ark like 2008 but we will have way more water or 2x more in 2013 than we saw in 2012... I am in the hills in the Ark drainage more than most and have seen a few years roll through. My opinion is that I am not sure we will see a peak of 2000 but we easily have double the snow pack that we had last year at this time.
If you look at the graph we have had good snow in this basin since the after the first week of February. March was good and April is looking to be good possibly great. Last night we were riding 3+ feet of settled snow from the past week.
Or you boys know I am game to back up my opinion with a 30 rack of PBR. So lets have some fun with it! If you boys (slim, glenn, or anyone else) want to bet what the flow will be on any given day in June, July or up to August 15th - well lets make a payin bet.
The bet on the table is that I will take any day you pick and I will bet you a 30 rack of PBR that the flow this year will be double what it was last year. Again you pick in any day in June or July, or August and I will bet you the flow will be double as measured on the Nathrop gauge for the day.
Time to put theory aside and put some PBR where your mouth is