Don't despair, lmeyers. The Ark has not blown it's wad, or peaked. I will take real observation of mountain passes and low temps up high where the snow is still locked in, and past personal experience over some 'prediction model' any day. The 'did the Ark peak' debate happens every single year, and nobody every seems to take into account the low temps at night up in the mountain passes.
Below freezing temps up high at night don't allow the snow to melt at a wad blowing level. The first push of high water (3200 numbers) was the result of a few warmer nights up high in Leadville and mountain passes. The lows in Leadville have dropped and have been at or below freezing for the past 5 days (so its obviously much colder up in those 14,000 mountain ranges and passes) and the lows in Leadville are ranging from 25 to 31 for the next 5 days. This is good because it means we will have a much longer river season, rather than blowing its wad. As soon as you see night time temps in Leadville get around 40 or so watch, wait and see the water rise, again.
I'll buy ya a six pack if I'm wrong.