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Old 02-26-2013   #11
Join Date: Sep 2006
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Does anyone remember what these were at last year at this time?

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Old 02-26-2013   #12
lmyers's Avatar
Buena Vista, Colorado
Paddling Since: 2005
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Originally Posted by Rich View Post
Does anyone remember what these were at last year at this time?
For some reason the percentages aren't showing up, but this should give you a good idea of where the Ark Basin is in relation to last season. Kinda strange, Monarch has already passed last season's snow total by more than 20", but the Basin as a whole is only like 75% of last season...

Long-range forecast from:

"What we expect to see...Sunday and next week More storm activity translates to more chances for snow next week, for fresher slopes in colder than average temperatures (good snow preservation), and some snow next Monday, then again next Thursday through Sunday as low pressure systems move through. It is looking like we may be busy right through mid-March, but this would not be unusual for Colorado. As we move from early through mid-March, stronger and more moist storms should start hitting the west coast (weaker high pressure across the eastern Pacific allowing for a longer over-water fetch of moisture into the storm), with storms weakening as they move into Colorado due to some ridging over the plains (due to the low pressure trough out west), and this counter-balances the increased moisture into Colorado as storms lose some strength. That being said, significant storms are still possible.CM"

In 2008/2009 we had comparable (though not quite as dry) conditions from October through January, with slightly above average precipitation in February and March. The kicker was that we got good snow in April and May and then it changed right to rain. Snowpack ended up right at average, but with the rain we saw an extended period of high water. This could happen again this season, but is less likely since the moisture deficit is so big and reservoir storage is low.

GARNA’s mission is to foster stewardship of the resources of the greater Arkansas River region through education, volunteerism and experiences.
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Old 02-26-2013   #13
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Join Date: May 2005
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Snowpack water content across the state is close to last year except for the Arkansas and S Platte, each down from last year.

Colorado SNOTEL Snowpack Comparison Update Report
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Old 02-26-2013   #14
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Denver, Colorado
Paddling Since: 1993
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 682
Here's your morning cup of optimism, and it's half-full!

A little historical perspective: Those of us who were around to endure our previous summer of discontent (2002) may recall that epic Spring upslope the following year. People not stranded in the parking lot formerly known as I-70 or buried at home for 3 days were skiing the bleachers at Red Rocks. We were behind the curve in late February that year too, but by the time it peaked, we were at 111% of average peak.


Of course, none of this means history will repeat itself 10 years later. We may not have even bottomed this drought yet. ::shudder:: The massive 2003 upslope was an anomaly. But then again, so was the snowpack peaking at the beginning of March last year. It could happen...

Edit: The "image" thing doesn't seem to like that, so here's a link to South Platte 2003 SWE.
I've a suggestion to keep you all occupied...learn to swim!
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Old 02-26-2013   #15
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Denver, Colorado
Paddling Since: 1996
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Originally Posted by KSC View Post
Boaters are an optimistic bunch. .....but our snowpack is currently way below the so-so snowpack we had in 2010 so I'm not terribly optimistic.
KSC, not optimistic?!

Low snowpack just means you get to practice your mank boating an extra couple weeks and burn more gas in your rig...sounds like a summer plan to me.

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