Thanks for the beta ken. Dam is low water portage, but I like to run it somewhere in the 200's which it could feasibly get to.
Echo lake snotel is 130% of average and we have had tons of moisture over the entire bear draininge recently. With a base flow in the creek at minimum, a pretty saturated ground in the watershed, and 10" SWE sitting at the headwaters, I think bear might actually have a little runoff season.
Nothing like the days of the floods when water was huge, pants were shit in on a daily basis, and yardsales were doled out in handfulls...