umm...just following up on these pointers....
"Agua Fria running 200 when the guage is at 80. Well the river can also be running at 10 when the guage is at 80 so you need a visual for that one"
1. Take a look at the upstream gage (mayer) .....it has been stuck
at 80. Now look at the downstream gage....its at 2. = shits broke. So here's the solution: Auga Fria @ Rock Springs >1500 and you should be good to go. Don't look at Mayer until it is fixed.
"The East Verde gauge is F-ed. It said 1000 when we were there and the river looked more like 60."
2. That gage is at the confluence some 30-40 miles downstream....if you are trying to do the Doll Baby run (87 x-ing), and rely on that one, you'll get skunked hard. Best is a visual, unfortunately.
**In fact, all of Payson's creeks are visuals** = meaning don't completely
rely on tonto to tell you if Christopher is running....instead RELY ON THIS
....heavy rain or rain ontop of what snowpack is there will make this run, along with Hellsgate.
Other than that, i'd say those statements are spot on. Although, i would be more worried about the small creek that crosses the road (mile 2), rather than the hill. (bear flats rd)
It's shapin' up...but i'm still hesitant. My recommendation would to also look or give Woods Canyon (V) a try....that shit is sick in there (plus it's a two dayer), and i think it just may go.