Originally Posted by captain pete
We were up skiing on Chalk Creek Pass (near Monarch Pass) two weeks ago... 12k feet, bare spots everywhere and where it wasn't bare, super soft snow. And thin. My skis were trashed after that trip.
Yeah, but Chalk Creek Pass up middle fork is south facing. After a week of sun like we have seen you can pretty much guarantee south facing slopes to have some bare spots, but if you get into a north or east facing slope the pack is 4-8 ft. deep, and pretty soft still. However there has been significant surface hoar and crust development, not good for bonding with this upcoming system.
I think we are still looking good for spring runoff.
Plus you have to remember, most of the water for the Ark comes from the Freemont/Tennessee Pass, Lake Creek, Clear Creek area. Last year the S. Fork of the Ark peaked at 480 cfs, and that was the highest it has got in 13 years.